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Vaccine Effectiveness ResearchUpdated June 22, 2025
ResearchPublished 4 hours ago

COVID-19 Vaccine Effectiveness Data 2025

Latest clinical studies confirm continued strong protection against severe illness from current COVID-19 vaccines. New data shows effectiveness rates against emerging variants and updated booster recommendations for different population groups.

12 min read
5.2M participants across studies
Data through June 2025

Key Findings

87%
Average protection against hospitalization
92%
Protection against severe illness
68%
Protection against infection

Vaccine Performance Comparison

2025 Vaccine Formulations

Pfizer-BioNTech

Updated 2025 Formula

Booster Recommended
87%
Hospital Prevention
92%
Severe Illness
68%
Infection Prevention
Duration:6-8 months
Age Groups:6 months+
Target Variants:
NB.1.8.1KP.3.1.1XEC

Moderna

mRNA-1273.232

Booster Recommended
89%
Hospital Prevention
94%
Severe Illness
71%
Infection Prevention
Duration:6-9 months
Age Groups:12 years+
Target Variants:
NB.1.8.1LP.8.1XEC

Novavax

NVX-CoV2373 2025

Booster Recommended
83%
Hospital Prevention
88%
Severe Illness
62%
Infection Prevention
Duration:5-7 months
Age Groups:18 years+
Target Variants:
Current circulatingKP.3.1.1

Effectiveness Against Current Variants

Protection Rates by Variant

VariantStatusPfizerModernaNovavax
NB.1.8.1
Slight reduction from previous variants but maintains strong protection
Rapidly spreading85%87%79%
KP.3.1.1
Excellent protection maintained across all vaccines
Previously dominant89%91%84%
XEC
Good protection; recombinant nature requires monitoring
Growing globally82%85%77%
LP.8.1
Strong protection across all age groups
Stable88%90%82%

Supporting Clinical Studies

Multi-Country Effectiveness Study

WHO Global Vaccine Effectiveness Network
Participants

2.4 million

Duration

6 months

Key Finding

87% reduction in severe illness across all variants

Real-World Protection Analysis

CDC Vaccine Effectiveness Surveillance
Participants

1.8 million

Duration

12 months

Key Finding

Booster doses restore protection to >90% against hospitalization

Variant-Specific Immunity Study

European Centre for Disease Prevention
Participants

850,000

Duration

8 months

Key Finding

Cross-protection maintained against emerging variants

Updated Booster Recommendations

Population-Specific Guidelines

Adults 65+

High Priority
Timing:

Every 6 months

Rationale:

Age-related immune decline requires more frequent boosting

Immunocompromised

Very High Priority
Timing:

Every 4-6 months

Rationale:

Reduced immune response necessitates frequent updates

Healthcare Workers

High Priority
Timing:

Every 6-8 months

Rationale:

High exposure risk and need to protect patients

General Adult Population

Moderate Priority
Timing:

Annually

Rationale:

Annual boosters provide adequate protection for most adults

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